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Please use this identifier to cite or link to this item: http://repository.li.mahidol.ac.th/dspace/handle/123456789/33165
Title: Changing crops in response to climate: Virtual Nang Rong, Thailand in an agent based simulation
Authors: George P. Malanson
Ashton M. Verdery
Stephen J. Walsh
Yothin Sawangdee
Benjamin W. Heumann
Philip M. McDaniel
Brian G. Frizzelle
Nathalie E. Williams
Xiaozheng Yao
Barbara Entwisle
Ronald R. Rindfuss
University of Iowa
Carolina Population Center
The University of North Carolina at Chapel Hill
Mahidol University
Central Michigan University
University of Washington, Seattle
Virginia Polytechnic Institute and State University
Keywords: Agricultural and Biological Sciences;Business, Management and Accounting;Environmental Science;Social Sciences
Issue Date: 1-Jan-2014
Citation: Applied Geography. Vol.53, (2014), 202-212
Abstract: The effects of extended climatic variability on agricultural land use were explored for the type of system found in villages of northeastern Thailand. An agent based model developed for the Nang Rong district was used to simulate land allotted to jasmine rice, heavy rice, cassava, and sugar cane. The land use choices in the model depended on likely economic outcomes, but included elements of bounded rationality in dependence on household demography. The socioeconomic dynamics are endogenous in the system, and climate changes were added as exogenous drivers. Villages changed their agricultural effort in many different ways. Most villages reduced the amount of land under cultivation, primarily with reduction in jasmine rice, but others did not. The variation in responses to climate change indicates potential sensitivity to initial conditions and path dependence for this type of system. The differences between our virtual villages and the real villages of the region indicate effects of bounded rationality and limits on model applications. © 2014 Elsevier Ltd.
URI: https://www.scopus.com/inward/record.uri?partnerID=HzOxMe3b&scp=84904103941&origin=inward
http://repository.li.mahidol.ac.th/dspace/handle/123456789/33165
ISSN: 01436228
Appears in Collections:Scopus 2011-2015

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