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Title: Climate variability and dengue hemorrhagic fever in Southeast Sulawesi Province, Indonesia
Authors: Ramadhan Tosepu
Kraichat Tantrakarnapa
Kanchana Nakhapakorn
Suwalee Worakhunpiset
Faculty of Environment and Resource Studies, Mahidol University
Mahidol University
University of Halu Oleo
Keywords: Environmental Science
Issue Date: 1-May-2018
Citation: Environmental Science and Pollution Research. Vol.25, No.15 (2018), 14944-14952
Abstract: © 2018, Springer-Verlag GmbH Germany, part of Springer Nature. To determine the association of climatic factors and dengue hemorrhagic fever and to develop the prediction approach of future dengue transmission. The study used totally monthly dengue hemorrhagic fever cases at Health Office Kendari, Southeast Sulawesi, Indonesia. Monthly meteorological data, consisting of temperature, rainfall, and humidity, was obtained from the Meteorology, Climatology and Geophysics Agency in Kendari district. All data analysis, including Spearman and Poisson distribution, was carried out in R Studio (version 3.3.2) utilizing the R statistical language version 2.15. The highest rate of dengue hemorrhagic fever cases was found in January, February, and March. Temperature averages at lag 2 (p = 0.53, p < 0.0001), lag 3 (p = 0.59, p < 0.0001), and lag 4 (p = 0.41, p < 0.01)) correlated with the incident rate of DHF. The average temperature at lag 2 was found to have a positive impact on the incidence of DHF by Poisson function. This study provides preliminary evidence of the influence of climatic factors on dengue transmission.
ISSN: 16147499
Appears in Collections:Scopus 2018

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