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Please use this identifier to cite or link to this item: http://repository.li.mahidol.ac.th/dspace/handle/123456789/46660
Title: Contributions of mean and shape of blood pressure distribution to worldwide trends and variations in raised blood pressure: A pooled analysis of 1018 population-based measurement studies with 88.6 million participants
Authors: Majid Ezzati
Bin Zhou
James Bentham
Mariachiara Di Cesare
Honor Bixby
Goodarz Danaei
Kaveh Hajifathalian
Cristina Taddei
Rodrigo M. Carrillo-Larco
Shirin Djalalinia
Shahab Khatibzadeh
Charles Lugero
Niloofar Peykari
Wan Zhu Zhang
James Bennett
Ver Bilano
Gretchen A. Stevens
Melanie J. Cowan
Leanne M. Riley
Zhengming Chen
Ian R. Hambleton
Rod T. Jackson
Andre Pascal Kengne
Young Ho Khang
Avula Laxmaiah
Jing Liu
Reza Malekzadeh
Hannelore K. Neuhauser
Maroje Sorić
Gregor Starc
Johan Sundström
Mark Woodward
Leandra Abarca-Gómez
Ziad A. Abdeen
Niveen M. Abu-Rmeileh
Benjamin Acosta-Cazares
Robert J. Adams
Wichai Aekplakorn
Kaosar Afsana
Carlos A. Aguilar-Salinas
Charles Agyemang
Noor Ani Ahmad
Alireza Ahmadvand
Wolfgang Ahrens
Kamel Ajlouni
Nazgul Akhtaeva
Rajaa Al-Raddadi
Mohamed M. Ali
Osman Ali
Ala'a Alkerwi
Eman Aly
Deepak N. Amarapurkar
Philippe Amouyel
Antoinette Amuzu
Lars Bo Andersen
Sigmund A. Anderssen
Lars H. Ängquist
Ranjit Mohan Anjana
Daniel Ansong
Hajer Aounallah-Skhiri
Joana Araújo
Inger Ariansen
Tahir Aris
Nimmathota Arlappa
Dominique Arveiler
Krishna K. Aryal
Thor Aspelund
Felix K. Assah
Maria Cecília F. Assunção
Macria Avdicová
Ana Azevedo
Fereidoun Azizi
Bontha V. Babu
Suhad Bahijri
Nagalla Balakrishna
Mohamed Bamoshmoosh
Maciej Banach
Piotr Bandosz
José R. Banegas
Carlo M. Barbagallo
Alberto Barceló
Amina Barkat
Aluisio J.D. Barros
Mauro V. Barros
Iqbal Bata
Anwar M. Batieha
Assembekov Batyrbek
Louise A. Baur
Robert Beaglehole
Habiba Ben Romdhane
Mikhail Benet
Lowell S. Benson
Antonio Bernabe-Ortiz
Gailute Bernotiene
Heloisa Bettiol
Aroor Bhagyalaxmi
Sumit Bharadwaj
Santosh K. Bhargava
Yufang Bi
Mukharram Bikbov
Leibniz Institute for Prevention Research and Epidemiology
Western Norway University of Applied Sciences
Lietuvos sveikatos mokslų universitetas
Kazakh National Medical University
University of Lille
B. J. Medical College, Ahmedabad
Caja Costarricense de Seguro Social
Shanghai Jiao Tong University School of Medicine
Beijing Anzhen Hospital
Birzeit University
Luxembourg Institute of Health
Komfo Anokye Teaching Hospital
Mulago Hospital
The University of the West Indies
Universidad Peruana Cayetano Heredia
Haskoli Islands
Université de Yaoundé I
Jordan University of Science and Technology
University of Tunis El Manar
Harvard School of Public Health
Al-Quds University
London School of Hygiene & Tropical Medicine
University of Ljubljana
South African Medical Research Council
University of New South Wales (UNSW) Australia
Tehran University of Medical Sciences
Organisation Mondiale de la Santé
University of Oxford
Universidad Autónoma de Madrid
The University of Sydney
Indian Council of Medical Research
University of Utah, School of Medicine
Universidade de Pernambuco
Shiraz University of Medical Sciences
Cleveland Clinic Foundation
Mohammed V University in Rabat
Shahid Beheshti University of Medical Sciences
Universiti Malaysia Sabah
Università degli Studi di Palermo
National Institute of Nutrition India
Brandeis University
Robert Koch Institut
Dalhousie University
Imperial College London
Universidade Federal de Pelotas
Middlesex University
Pan American Health Organization
Seoul National University
Kementerian Kesihatan Malaysia
Mahidol University
Gdanski Uniwersytet Medyczny
Norwegian Institute of Public Health
Bombay Hospital and Medical Research Centre
University of Kent
The University of Adelaide
Instituto Nacional de la Nutrición Salvador Zubiran
Instituto Mexicano del Seguro Social
University of Zagreb
Universidade de Sao Paulo - USP
Iranian Ministry of Health and Medical Education
Universidade do Porto
Medical University of Lodz
University of Auckland
King Abdulaziz University
Norges idrettshøgskole
Uppsala Universitet
University of Amsterdam
Madras Diabetes Research Foundation
National Center for Diabetes and Endocrinology
CAFAM University Foundation
German Center for Cardiovascular Research
SL Jain Hospital
Non-Communicable Diseases Research Center
Strasbourg University and Hospital
Chirayu Medical College
Bispebjerg and Frederiksberg Hospitals
Uganda Heart Institute
National Institute of Public Health
BRAC
Nepal Health Research Council
Regional Authority of Public Health
Ufa Eye Research Institute
University of Science and Technology
Keywords: Medicine
Issue Date: 1-Jun-2018
Citation: International Journal of Epidemiology. Vol.47, No.3 (2018), 872-883i
Abstract: © The Author(s) 2018. Background: Change in the prevalence of raised blood pressure could be due to both shifts in the entire distribution of blood pressure (representing the combined effects of public health interventions and secular trends) and changes in its high-blood-pressure tail (representing successful clinical interventions to control blood pressure in the hypertensive population). Our aim was to quantify the contributions of these two phenomena to the worldwide trends in the prevalence of raised blood pressure. Methods: We pooled 1018 population-based studies with blood pressure measurements on 88.6 million participants from 1985 to 2016. We first calculated mean systolic blood pressure (SBP), mean diastolic blood pressure (DBP) and prevalence of raised blood pressure by sex and 10-year age group from 20-29 years to 70-79 years in each study, taking into account complex survey design and survey sample weights, where relevant. We used a linear mixed effect model to quantify the association between (probittransformed) prevalence of raised blood pressure and age-group- and sex-specific mean blood pressure. We calculated the contributions of change in mean SBP and DBP, and of change in the prevalence-mean association, to the change in prevalence of raised blood pressure. Results: In 2005-16, at the same level of population mean SBP and DBP, men and women in South Asia and in Central Asia, the Middle East and North Africa would have the highest prevalence of raised blood pressure, and men and women in the highincome Asia Pacific and high-income Western regions would have the lowest. In most region-sex-age groups where the prevalence of raised blood pressure declined, one half or more of the decline was due to the decline in mean blood pressure. Where prevalence of raised blood pressure has increased, the change was entirely driven by increasing mean blood pressure, offset partly by the change in the prevalence-mean association. Conclusions: Change in mean blood pressure is the main driver of the worldwide change in the prevalence of raised blood pressure, but change in the high-blood-pressure tail of the distribution has also contributed to the change in prevalence, especially in older age groups.
URI: https://www.scopus.com/inward/record.uri?partnerID=HzOxMe3b&scp=85050702158&origin=inward
http://repository.li.mahidol.ac.th/dspace/handle/123456789/46660
ISSN: 14643685
03005771
Appears in Collections:Scopus 2018

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