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Title: Estimation of the adolescent pregnancy rate in Thailand 2008-2013: An application of capture-recapture method
Authors: Bunyarit Sukrat
Chusak Okascharoen
Sasivimol Rattanasiri
Wichai Aekplakorn
Jiraporn Arunakul
Kittipong Saejeng
Dankmar Böhning
Ammarin Thakkinstian
University of Southampton
Faculty of Medicine, Ramathibodi Hospital, Mahidol University
Thailand Ministry of Public Health
Keywords: Medicine
Issue Date: 19-Feb-2020
Citation: BMC Pregnancy and Childbirth. Vol.20, No.1 (2020)
Abstract: © 2020 The Author(s). Background: Adolescent pregnancy is an important health and social issue that affects both individual and social well-being. However, deriving a national estimate is challenging in a country with multiple incomplete national databases especially the abortion statistics. The objective of this study was to estimate the adolescent pregnancy rates in Thailand using capture-recapture method. Methods: An application of capture-recapture method was conducted using two cross-sectional databases (i.e., the national birth registration and the Ministry of Public Health standard health databases) and one hospital-based data source from medical record reviews. A 3-sources capture-recapture with log-linear model was applied to estimate adolescent pregnancy rates. Results: A total number of 741,084, 290,922 and 25,478 records were respectively identified from the birth registrations, standard health databases and hospital-based survey data during 2008 to 2013. The estimated adolescent pregnancy rates /1000 adolescent women (95% confidence intervals (CI)) ranged from 56.3 (49.4, 66.9) to 70.3 (60.3, 76.6). The estimated rates were about 12-31% higher than adolescent birth rates reported by the Thailand Public Health Statistics. Conclusions: With the capture-recapture method, more accurate adolescent pregnancy rates were estimated. This method should be able to apply to any setting with similar context.
ISSN: 14712393
Appears in Collections:Scopus 2020

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