George P. MalansonAshton M. VerderyStephen J. WalshYothin SawangdeeBenjamin W. HeumannPhilip M. McDanielBrian G. FrizzelleNathalie E. WilliamsXiaozheng YaoBarbara EntwisleRonald R. RindfussUniversity of IowaCarolina Population CenterThe University of North Carolina at Chapel HillMahidol UniversityCentral Michigan UniversityUniversity of Washington, SeattleVirginia Polytechnic Institute and State University2018-11-092018-11-092014-01-01Applied Geography. Vol.53, (2014), 202-212014362282-s2.0-84904103941https://repository.li.mahidol.ac.th/handle/123456789/33165The effects of extended climatic variability on agricultural land use were explored for the type of system found in villages of northeastern Thailand. An agent based model developed for the Nang Rong district was used to simulate land allotted to jasmine rice, heavy rice, cassava, and sugar cane. The land use choices in the model depended on likely economic outcomes, but included elements of bounded rationality in dependence on household demography. The socioeconomic dynamics are endogenous in the system, and climate changes were added as exogenous drivers. Villages changed their agricultural effort in many different ways. Most villages reduced the amount of land under cultivation, primarily with reduction in jasmine rice, but others did not. The variation in responses to climate change indicates potential sensitivity to initial conditions and path dependence for this type of system. The differences between our virtual villages and the real villages of the region indicate effects of bounded rationality and limits on model applications. © 2014 Elsevier Ltd.Mahidol UniversityAgricultural and Biological SciencesBusiness, Management and AccountingEnvironmental ScienceSocial SciencesArticleSCOPUS10.1016/j.apgeog.2014.06.010