Tang, I. MingPoulter, JulianWattana Kanbua2023-09-222023-09-22199319932023Thesis (M.Sc. (Applied Mathematics))--Mahidol University, 1993https://repository.li.mahidol.ac.th/handle/123456789/90106Based on the fact that tropical cyclone movement is highly correlated with the parameters related to the climatology and persistency of tropical cyclone movement, a statistical model for forecasting tropical cyclone movement has been developed. This method employs the stepwise screening procedure and Dynamical Techniques. Thai Meteorological Department uses this method in the routine on-line system, when it is necessary. This method was computed from the tropical cyclone data,1945-1989 and tested using the tropical cyclone forecast verification data from 1983-1987. This model in conjunction with use of satellite and GTS studies has been very successful for predicting cyclone movement in the Thailand area of responsibility.v, 81 leaves : mapsapplication/pdfengCyclone -- TropicsCyclone forecastingForecasting tropical cyclone movement by statistical and dynamical techniquesการพยากรณ์การเคลื่อนตัวของพายุไซโคลนโดยวิธีการทางสถิติและพลศาสตร์Mahidol University