Publication: Changing crops in response to climate: Virtual Nang Rong, Thailand in an agent based simulation
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Issued Date
2014-01-01
Resource Type
ISSN
01436228
Other identifier(s)
2-s2.0-84904103941
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Mahidol University
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SCOPUS
Bibliographic Citation
Applied Geography. Vol.53, (2014), 202-212
Suggested Citation
George P. Malanson, Ashton M. Verdery, Stephen J. Walsh, Yothin Sawangdee, Benjamin W. Heumann, Philip M. McDaniel, Brian G. Frizzelle, Nathalie E. Williams, Xiaozheng Yao, Barbara Entwisle, Ronald R. Rindfuss Changing crops in response to climate: Virtual Nang Rong, Thailand in an agent based simulation. Applied Geography. Vol.53, (2014), 202-212. doi:10.1016/j.apgeog.2014.06.010 Retrieved from: https://repository.li.mahidol.ac.th/handle/123456789/33165
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Title
Changing crops in response to climate: Virtual Nang Rong, Thailand in an agent based simulation
Abstract
The effects of extended climatic variability on agricultural land use were explored for the type of system found in villages of northeastern Thailand. An agent based model developed for the Nang Rong district was used to simulate land allotted to jasmine rice, heavy rice, cassava, and sugar cane. The land use choices in the model depended on likely economic outcomes, but included elements of bounded rationality in dependence on household demography. The socioeconomic dynamics are endogenous in the system, and climate changes were added as exogenous drivers. Villages changed their agricultural effort in many different ways. Most villages reduced the amount of land under cultivation, primarily with reduction in jasmine rice, but others did not. The variation in responses to climate change indicates potential sensitivity to initial conditions and path dependence for this type of system. The differences between our virtual villages and the real villages of the region indicate effects of bounded rationality and limits on model applications. © 2014 Elsevier Ltd.