Where will the dhole survive in 2030? Predicted strongholds in mainland Southeast Asia
Issued Date
2022-11-01
Resource Type
eISSN
25784854
Scopus ID
2-s2.0-85140065062
Journal Title
Conservation Science and Practice
Volume
4
Issue
11
Rights Holder(s)
SCOPUS
Bibliographic Citation
Conservation Science and Practice Vol.4 No.11 (2022)
Suggested Citation
Tananantayot J., Agger C., Ash E., Aung S.S., Baker-Whatton M.C., Bisi F., Clements G.R., Cremonesi G., Crouthers R., Frechette J.L., Gale G.A., Godfrey A., Gray T.N.E., Greenspan E., Griffin O., Grindley M., Hashim A.K.B.A., Jenks K.E., Say K'lu S., Lam W.Y., Lynam A.J., McCann G.E., Mohamad S.W., Petersen W.J., Sivayogam C.P., Rayan D.M., Riggio A.M., Saosoong S., Savini T., Seuaturien N., Shwe N.M., Siripattaranukul K., Steinmetz R., Suksavate S., Sukumal N., Tantipisanuh N., Vinitpornsawan S., Ngoprasert D. Where will the dhole survive in 2030? Predicted strongholds in mainland Southeast Asia. Conservation Science and Practice Vol.4 No.11 (2022). doi:10.1111/csp2.12831 Retrieved from: https://repository.li.mahidol.ac.th/handle/20.500.14594/84662
Title
Where will the dhole survive in 2030? Predicted strongholds in mainland Southeast Asia
Author(s)
Tananantayot J.
Agger C.
Ash E.
Aung S.S.
Baker-Whatton M.C.
Bisi F.
Clements G.R.
Cremonesi G.
Crouthers R.
Frechette J.L.
Gale G.A.
Godfrey A.
Gray T.N.E.
Greenspan E.
Griffin O.
Grindley M.
Hashim A.K.B.A.
Jenks K.E.
Say K'lu S.
Lam W.Y.
Lynam A.J.
McCann G.E.
Mohamad S.W.
Petersen W.J.
Sivayogam C.P.
Rayan D.M.
Riggio A.M.
Saosoong S.
Savini T.
Seuaturien N.
Shwe N.M.
Siripattaranukul K.
Steinmetz R.
Suksavate S.
Sukumal N.
Tantipisanuh N.
Vinitpornsawan S.
Ngoprasert D.
Agger C.
Ash E.
Aung S.S.
Baker-Whatton M.C.
Bisi F.
Clements G.R.
Cremonesi G.
Crouthers R.
Frechette J.L.
Gale G.A.
Godfrey A.
Gray T.N.E.
Greenspan E.
Griffin O.
Grindley M.
Hashim A.K.B.A.
Jenks K.E.
Say K'lu S.
Lam W.Y.
Lynam A.J.
McCann G.E.
Mohamad S.W.
Petersen W.J.
Sivayogam C.P.
Rayan D.M.
Riggio A.M.
Saosoong S.
Savini T.
Seuaturien N.
Shwe N.M.
Siripattaranukul K.
Steinmetz R.
Suksavate S.
Sukumal N.
Tantipisanuh N.
Vinitpornsawan S.
Ngoprasert D.
Author's Affiliation
Fauna & Flora International
Panthera USA
Sunway University
Faculty of Environment and Resource Studies, Mahidol University
National Park, Wildlife and Plant Conservation Department, Thailand
WWF Thailand
Jabatan Perlindungan Hidupan Liar dan Taman Negara
Wildlife Conservation Society Cambodia
University of Oxford
Conservation and Research Center (National Zoo)
Kasetsart University
Wildfowl and Wetlands Trust
Chang Gung University
Nature Conservancy
King Mongkut's University of Technology Thonburi
Università degli Studi dell'Insubria
Wildlife Conservation Society
Jalan University
Kawthoolei Forestry Department
Karen Wildlife Conservation Initiative
WWF Tigers Alive Initiative
Rimba
Wildlife Alliance
WWF-Cambodia
Conservation International
Istituto Oikos Onlus
WWF Malaysia
Wildlife Conservation Society
Panthera USA
Sunway University
Faculty of Environment and Resource Studies, Mahidol University
National Park, Wildlife and Plant Conservation Department, Thailand
WWF Thailand
Jabatan Perlindungan Hidupan Liar dan Taman Negara
Wildlife Conservation Society Cambodia
University of Oxford
Conservation and Research Center (National Zoo)
Kasetsart University
Wildfowl and Wetlands Trust
Chang Gung University
Nature Conservancy
King Mongkut's University of Technology Thonburi
Università degli Studi dell'Insubria
Wildlife Conservation Society
Jalan University
Kawthoolei Forestry Department
Karen Wildlife Conservation Initiative
WWF Tigers Alive Initiative
Rimba
Wildlife Alliance
WWF-Cambodia
Conservation International
Istituto Oikos Onlus
WWF Malaysia
Wildlife Conservation Society
Other Contributor(s)
Abstract
Dhole (Cuon alpinus) is threatened with extinction across its range due to habitat loss and prey depletion. Despite this, no previous study has investigated the distribution and threat of the species at a regional scale. This lack of knowledge continues to impede conservation planning for the species. Here we modeled suitable habitat using presence-only camera trap data for dhole and dhole prey species in mainland Southeast Asia and assessed the threat level to dhole in this region using an expert-informed Bayesian Belief Network. We integrated prior information to identify dhole habitat strongholds that could support populations over the next 50 years. Our habitat suitability model identified forest cover and prey availability as the most influential factors affecting dhole occurrence. Similarly, our threat model predicted that forest loss and prey depletion were the greatest threats, followed by local hunting, non-timber forest product collection, and domestic dog incursion into the forest. These threats require proactive resource management, strong legal protection, and cross-sector collaboration. We predicted <20% of all remaining forest cover in our study area to be suitable for dhole. We then identified 17 patches of suitable forest area as potential strongholds. Among these patches, Western Forest Complex (Thailand) was identified as the region's only primary stronghold, while Taman Negara (Malaysia), and northeastern landscape (Cambodia) were identified as secondary strongholds. Although all 17 patches met our minimum size criteria (1667 km2), patches smaller than 3333 km2 may require site management either by increasing the ecological carrying capacity (i.e., prey abundance) or maintaining forest extent. Our proposed interventions for dhole would also strengthen the conservation of other co-occurring species facing similar threats. Our threat assessment technique of species with scarce information is likely replicable with other endangered species.