Pantropical tree rings show small effects of drought on stem growth
5
Issued Date
2025-07-31
Resource Type
ISSN
00368075
eISSN
10959203
Scopus ID
2-s2.0-105012805835
Pubmed ID
40743338
Journal Title
Science
Volume
389
Issue
6759
Start Page
532
End Page
538
Rights Holder(s)
SCOPUS
Bibliographic Citation
Science Vol.389 No.6759 (2025) , 532-538
Suggested Citation
Zuidema P.A., Groenendijk P., Rahman M., Trouet V., Abiyu A., Acuña-Soto R., Adenesky-Filho E., Alfaro-Sánchez R., Anholetto C.R., Aragão J.R.V., Assis-Pereira G., Astudillo-Sánchez C.C., Barbosa A.C., Battipaglia G., Beeckman H., Botosso P.C., Bourland N., Bräuning A., Brienen R., Brookhouse M., Buajan S., Buckley B.M., Camarero J.J., Carrillo-Parra A., Ceccantini G., Centeno-Erguera L.R., Cerano-Paredes J., Cervantes-Martínez R., Chanthorn W., Chen Y.J., Cintra B.B.L., Cornejo-Oviedo E.H., Cortés-Cortés O., Costa C.M., Couralet C., Crispín-De-La-Cruz D.B., D'arrigo R., David D.A., De Ridder M., Valle J.I.D., Dobner M., Doucet J.L., Dünisch O., Enquist B.J., Esemann-Quadros K., Esquivel-Arriaga G., Fan Z.X., Fayolle A., Fenilli T.A.B., Ferrero M.E., Fichtler E., Finnegan P.M., Fontana C., Francisco K.S., Fu P.L., Galvão F., Gebrekirstos A., Giraldo J.A., Gloor E., Godoy-Veiga M., Granato-Souza D., Guerra A., Haneca K., Harley G.L., Heinrich I., Helle G., Hornink B., Hubau W., Inga J.G., Islam M., Jiang Y.M., Kaib M., Khamisi Z.H., Koprowski M., Layme E., Leffler A.J., Ligot G., Lisi C.S., Loader N.J., De Almeida Lobo F., Locosselli G.M., Longhi-Santos T., Lopez L., López-Hernández M.I., Lousada J.L.P.C., Manzanedo R.D., Marcon A.K., Maxwell J.T., Mendoza-Villa O.N., Romany Nunes Menezes Í., Mokria M., Ribeiro Montóia V., Moors E., Moreno M., Muñiz-Castro M.A., Nabais C., Nathalang A., Ngoma J., De Carvalho Nogueira F., Oliveira J.M. Pantropical tree rings show small effects of drought on stem growth. Science Vol.389 No.6759 (2025) , 532-538. 538. doi:10.1126/science.adq6607 Retrieved from: https://repository.li.mahidol.ac.th/handle/123456789/111730
Title
Pantropical tree rings show small effects of drought on stem growth
Author(s)
Zuidema P.A.
Groenendijk P.
Rahman M.
Trouet V.
Abiyu A.
Acuña-Soto R.
Adenesky-Filho E.
Alfaro-Sánchez R.
Anholetto C.R.
Aragão J.R.V.
Assis-Pereira G.
Astudillo-Sánchez C.C.
Barbosa A.C.
Battipaglia G.
Beeckman H.
Botosso P.C.
Bourland N.
Bräuning A.
Brienen R.
Brookhouse M.
Buajan S.
Buckley B.M.
Camarero J.J.
Carrillo-Parra A.
Ceccantini G.
Centeno-Erguera L.R.
Cerano-Paredes J.
Cervantes-Martínez R.
Chanthorn W.
Chen Y.J.
Cintra B.B.L.
Cornejo-Oviedo E.H.
Cortés-Cortés O.
Costa C.M.
Couralet C.
Crispín-De-La-Cruz D.B.
D'arrigo R.
David D.A.
De Ridder M.
Valle J.I.D.
Dobner M.
Doucet J.L.
Dünisch O.
Enquist B.J.
Esemann-Quadros K.
Esquivel-Arriaga G.
Fan Z.X.
Fayolle A.
Fenilli T.A.B.
Ferrero M.E.
Fichtler E.
Finnegan P.M.
Fontana C.
Francisco K.S.
Fu P.L.
Galvão F.
Gebrekirstos A.
Giraldo J.A.
Gloor E.
Godoy-Veiga M.
Granato-Souza D.
Guerra A.
Haneca K.
Harley G.L.
Heinrich I.
Helle G.
Hornink B.
Hubau W.
Inga J.G.
Islam M.
Jiang Y.M.
Kaib M.
Khamisi Z.H.
Koprowski M.
Layme E.
Leffler A.J.
Ligot G.
Lisi C.S.
Loader N.J.
De Almeida Lobo F.
Locosselli G.M.
Longhi-Santos T.
Lopez L.
López-Hernández M.I.
Lousada J.L.P.C.
Manzanedo R.D.
Marcon A.K.
Maxwell J.T.
Mendoza-Villa O.N.
Romany Nunes Menezes Í.
Mokria M.
Ribeiro Montóia V.
Moors E.
Moreno M.
Muñiz-Castro M.A.
Nabais C.
Nathalang A.
Ngoma J.
De Carvalho Nogueira F.
Oliveira J.M.
Groenendijk P.
Rahman M.
Trouet V.
Abiyu A.
Acuña-Soto R.
Adenesky-Filho E.
Alfaro-Sánchez R.
Anholetto C.R.
Aragão J.R.V.
Assis-Pereira G.
Astudillo-Sánchez C.C.
Barbosa A.C.
Battipaglia G.
Beeckman H.
Botosso P.C.
Bourland N.
Bräuning A.
Brienen R.
Brookhouse M.
Buajan S.
Buckley B.M.
Camarero J.J.
Carrillo-Parra A.
Ceccantini G.
Centeno-Erguera L.R.
Cerano-Paredes J.
Cervantes-Martínez R.
Chanthorn W.
Chen Y.J.
Cintra B.B.L.
Cornejo-Oviedo E.H.
Cortés-Cortés O.
Costa C.M.
Couralet C.
Crispín-De-La-Cruz D.B.
D'arrigo R.
David D.A.
De Ridder M.
Valle J.I.D.
Dobner M.
Doucet J.L.
Dünisch O.
Enquist B.J.
Esemann-Quadros K.
Esquivel-Arriaga G.
Fan Z.X.
Fayolle A.
Fenilli T.A.B.
Ferrero M.E.
Fichtler E.
Finnegan P.M.
Fontana C.
Francisco K.S.
Fu P.L.
Galvão F.
Gebrekirstos A.
Giraldo J.A.
Gloor E.
Godoy-Veiga M.
Granato-Souza D.
Guerra A.
Haneca K.
Harley G.L.
Heinrich I.
Helle G.
Hornink B.
Hubau W.
Inga J.G.
Islam M.
Jiang Y.M.
Kaib M.
Khamisi Z.H.
Koprowski M.
Layme E.
Leffler A.J.
Ligot G.
Lisi C.S.
Loader N.J.
De Almeida Lobo F.
Locosselli G.M.
Longhi-Santos T.
Lopez L.
López-Hernández M.I.
Lousada J.L.P.C.
Manzanedo R.D.
Marcon A.K.
Maxwell J.T.
Mendoza-Villa O.N.
Romany Nunes Menezes Í.
Mokria M.
Ribeiro Montóia V.
Moors E.
Moreno M.
Muñiz-Castro M.A.
Nabais C.
Nathalang A.
Ngoma J.
De Carvalho Nogueira F.
Oliveira J.M.
Author's Affiliation
Universidade de São Paulo
ETH Zürich
The University of Arizona
Universiteit Gent
University of Birmingham
University of Leeds
Universidad Nacional Autónoma de México
The University of Western Australia
Friedrich-Alexander-Universität Erlangen-Nürnberg
Universidade Estadual de Campinas
University of Bern
Wageningen University & Research
Vrije Universiteit Amsterdam
Humboldt-Universität zu Berlin
Georg-August-Universität Göttingen
Indiana University Bloomington
Université de Liège
Washington State University Pullman
Universidade Federal de Santa Catarina
Universidade Federal do Parana
Swansea University
Universidade Federal do Ceará
Universidad de Castilla-La Mancha
Empresa Brasileira de Pesquisa Agropecuária - Embrapa
Uniwersytet Mikołaja Kopernika w Toruniu
University of Idaho
Kasetsart University
Universidad de Guadalajara
Universidade Federal de Lavras
Czech University of Life Sciences Prague
GFZ Helmholtz Centre for Geosciences
Lamont-Doherty Earth Observatory
Université Fédérale de Sergipe
Universidade Federal de Mato Grosso
Thailand National Science and Technology Development Agency
Universidad Nacional de Colombia Medellin
Universidade do Vale do Rio dos Sinos
Universidad Autónoma de Querétaro
Santa Fe Institute
Instituto Nacional de Investigaciones Forestales, Agricolas y Pecuarias
IHE Delft Institute for Water Education
The Fenner School of Environment & Society
Shahjalal University of Science and Technology
Centro de Investigação e de Tecnologias Agroambientais e Biológicas
Xishuangbanna Tropical Botanical Garden Chinese Academy of Sciences
Alabama A and M University
CSIC - Instituto Pirenaico de Ecología (IPE)
IPA – Instituto de Pesquisas Ambientais
World Agroforestry Centre
Universidade Regional de Blumenau
University of Coimbra, Centre for Functional Ecology
Universidad Continental
USDA Forest Service Pacific Southwest Research Station
Royal Museum for Central Africa
Universidad Juárez del Estado de Durango
Universidad Autónoma Agraria Antonio Narro
Centro Científico Tecnológico, Mendoza
Deutsches Archäologisches Institut
Copperbelt University
Northern Forestry Centre
Universidade da Regiao de Joinville
Faculty of Environment and Resource Studies, Mahidol University
Forêts et Sociétés
Tecnológico de Antioquia
World Agroforestry Centre (ICRAF)
U.S. Fish and Wildlife Service
ULiège
Flanders Heritage Agency
Mamirauá Sustainable Development Institute (IDSM)
Universidad de Colombia
Instituto Biodiversa
Master School for Carpentry and Cabinetmaking
Belgian Climate Centre
BROOKINGS
University of CampaniaL. Vanvitelli
UniversidadNacional Autónoma de Mexico
Facultad de Ingeniería y Ciencias
Programa Nacional de Investigación Forestal
Federal Institute of Sergipe IFS
CITEforestal Pucallpa
ETH Zürich
The University of Arizona
Universiteit Gent
University of Birmingham
University of Leeds
Universidad Nacional Autónoma de México
The University of Western Australia
Friedrich-Alexander-Universität Erlangen-Nürnberg
Universidade Estadual de Campinas
University of Bern
Wageningen University & Research
Vrije Universiteit Amsterdam
Humboldt-Universität zu Berlin
Georg-August-Universität Göttingen
Indiana University Bloomington
Université de Liège
Washington State University Pullman
Universidade Federal de Santa Catarina
Universidade Federal do Parana
Swansea University
Universidade Federal do Ceará
Universidad de Castilla-La Mancha
Empresa Brasileira de Pesquisa Agropecuária - Embrapa
Uniwersytet Mikołaja Kopernika w Toruniu
University of Idaho
Kasetsart University
Universidad de Guadalajara
Universidade Federal de Lavras
Czech University of Life Sciences Prague
GFZ Helmholtz Centre for Geosciences
Lamont-Doherty Earth Observatory
Université Fédérale de Sergipe
Universidade Federal de Mato Grosso
Thailand National Science and Technology Development Agency
Universidad Nacional de Colombia Medellin
Universidade do Vale do Rio dos Sinos
Universidad Autónoma de Querétaro
Santa Fe Institute
Instituto Nacional de Investigaciones Forestales, Agricolas y Pecuarias
IHE Delft Institute for Water Education
The Fenner School of Environment & Society
Shahjalal University of Science and Technology
Centro de Investigação e de Tecnologias Agroambientais e Biológicas
Xishuangbanna Tropical Botanical Garden Chinese Academy of Sciences
Alabama A and M University
CSIC - Instituto Pirenaico de Ecología (IPE)
IPA – Instituto de Pesquisas Ambientais
World Agroforestry Centre
Universidade Regional de Blumenau
University of Coimbra, Centre for Functional Ecology
Universidad Continental
USDA Forest Service Pacific Southwest Research Station
Royal Museum for Central Africa
Universidad Juárez del Estado de Durango
Universidad Autónoma Agraria Antonio Narro
Centro Científico Tecnológico, Mendoza
Deutsches Archäologisches Institut
Copperbelt University
Northern Forestry Centre
Universidade da Regiao de Joinville
Faculty of Environment and Resource Studies, Mahidol University
Forêts et Sociétés
Tecnológico de Antioquia
World Agroforestry Centre (ICRAF)
U.S. Fish and Wildlife Service
ULiège
Flanders Heritage Agency
Mamirauá Sustainable Development Institute (IDSM)
Universidad de Colombia
Instituto Biodiversa
Master School for Carpentry and Cabinetmaking
Belgian Climate Centre
BROOKINGS
University of CampaniaL. Vanvitelli
UniversidadNacional Autónoma de Mexico
Facultad de Ingeniería y Ciencias
Programa Nacional de Investigación Forestal
Federal Institute of Sergipe IFS
CITEforestal Pucallpa
Corresponding Author(s)
Other Contributor(s)
Abstract
Increasing drought pressure under anthropogenic climate change may jeopardize the potential of tropical forests to capture carbon in woody biomass and act as a long-term carbon dioxide sink. To evaluate this risk, we assessed drought impacts in 483 tree-ring chronologies from across the tropics and found an overall modest stem growth decline (2.5% with a 95% confidence interval of 2.2 to 2.7%) during the 10% driest years since 1930. Stem growth declines exceeded 10% in 25% of cases and were larger at hotter and drier sites and for gymnosperms compared with angiosperms. Growth declines generally did not outlast drought years and were partially mitigated by growth stimulation in wet years. Thus, pantropical forest carbon sequestration through stem growth has hitherto shown drought resilience that may, however, diminish under future climate change.