Comparative effectiveness analysis of survival with first-line palbociclib or ribociclib plus AI in HR + /HER2- advanced breast cancer (CEPRA study): preliminary analysis of real-world data from Thailand

Abstract

Background: The current standard first-line treatment for hormone receptor-positive/human epidermal growth factor receptor 2 negative (HR + /HER2 −) advanced breast cancer (ABC) is a combination of aromatase inhibitor (AI) plus CDK4/6 inhibitors (CDK4/6i). Direct comparison trials of different CDK4/6i are scarce. This real-world study compared the effectiveness of first-line AI plus ribociclib versus palbociclib. Methods: This multicenter retrospective cohort study, conducted in six cancer centers in Thailand, enrolled patients with HR + /HER2 − ABC treated with first-line AI, and either ribociclib or palbociclib. Propensity score matching (PSM) was performed. The primary endpoint was overall survival (OS). Secondary endpoints included progression-free survival (PFS), overall response rate (ORR), time to chemotherapy (TTC), and adverse events. Results: Of the 250 patients enrolled, 134 patients with ribociclib and 49 patients with palbociclib were captured after PSM. Baseline characteristics were well-balanced between groups. Median PFS in patients receiving ribociclib and palbociclib were 27.9 and 31.8 months, respectively (hazard ratio: 0.87; 0.55–1.37). The median OS in the AI + ribociclib arm was 48.7 months compared to 59.1 months in the AI + palbociclib arm (hazard ratio: 0.55; 0.29–1.05). The median TTC in the AI + palbociclib group was 56 months, but not reached in the AI + ribociclib group (p = 0.42). The ORR of AI + ribociclib and AI + palbociclib were comparable (40.5% vs. 53.6%, p = 0.29). Patients receiving palbociclib demonstrated a higher proportion of neutropenia compared to those receiving ribociclib, despite a similar dose reduction rate (p = 0.28). Hepatitis rate was similar between the ribociclib (21%) and palbociclib groups (22%). Additionally, a low incidence of QT prolongation was observed in both the ribociclib (5%) and palbociclib groups (4%). Conclusion: This preliminary analysis of a real-world study demonstrated the comparable effectiveness of ribociclib and palbociclib with AI as an initial therapy for HR + /HER2 − ABC. No statistically significant difference in PFS, OS, and TTC was found in patients treated with AI combined with palbociclib or ribociclib. Longer follow-up and further prospective randomized head-to-head studies are warranted.