Predictors and pathways of in-hospital mortality in active vascular contrast extravasation detected on abdominopelvic CT

Abstract

Objectives: This study aimed to identify factors influencing in-hospital mortality in adult patients with active vascular contrast extravasation (AVCE) on abdominopelvic computed tomography (CT). Methods: All consecutive patients with AVCE detected on CT between January 2019 and May 2022 were retrospectively included. Their data were compared through uni- and multivariable analyses between patients with and without in-hospital mortality. Path analysis was utilized to clarify the relationships among factors affecting mortality. Results: There were 272 patients (60.2 ± 19.4 years, 150 men) included, of whom 70 experienced in-hospital mortality. Multivariable analysis revealed nonsurgery, chronic kidney disease (CKD) stage 4–5 or dialysis, prolonged partial thromboplastin time (PTT), minimum AVCE length > 8 mm, and a lower rate of packed red cell (PRC) transfusion were identified as independent predictors of in-hospital mortality (p = 0.005–0.048). Path analysis demonstrated direct influences of CKD4-5 or dialysis, prolonged PTT, and minimum AVCE length on mortality (coefficients 0.525–0.616; p = 0.009 to < 0.001). PRC transfusion impacted mortality through nonsurgery (coefficient 0.798, p = 0.003) and intensive care unit (ICU) admission (coefficients 0.025, p = 0.016), leading to subsequent death. Three AVCE spaces (free, loose, and tight) defined on CT were not directly associated with in-hospital mortality. Conclusion: In adults with AVCE on CT, AVCE size had a direct independent influence on mortality, highlighting the critical role of radiologists in detecting and characterizing this finding. Additionally, CKD4-5 or dialysis and prolonged PTT also directly influenced mortality, while the lower rate of PRC transfusion impacted mortality through nonsurgery and ICU admission. Clinical relevance statement: In patients with active vascular contrast extravasation (AVCE) on abdominopelvic CT, larger AVCE directly increased in-hospital mortality. Radiologists’ detection and characterization of this finding is crucial, along with recognizing factors like CKD4-5, dialysis, and prolonged PTT to improve patient outcomes. Key Points: Several factors independently predicted in-hospital mortality in patients with abdominopelvic AVCE. Extravasation length > 8 mm was the only imaging marker predictive of in-hospital mortality. Non-imaging factors correlated with in-hospital mortality, and PRC transfusion impacted mortality through nonsurgery and ICU admission pathways. Graphical Abstract: (Figure presented.)