Estimation of Excess All-Cause Mortality Due to COVID-19 in Thailand
Issued Date
2022-07-01
Resource Type
eISSN
24146366
Scopus ID
2-s2.0-85135006888
Journal Title
Tropical Medicine and Infectious Disease
Volume
7
Issue
7
Rights Holder(s)
SCOPUS
Bibliographic Citation
Tropical Medicine and Infectious Disease Vol.7 No.7 (2022)
Suggested Citation
Wilasang C., Modchang C., Lincharoen T., Chadsuthi S. Estimation of Excess All-Cause Mortality Due to COVID-19 in Thailand. Tropical Medicine and Infectious Disease Vol.7 No.7 (2022). doi:10.3390/tropicalmed7070116 Retrieved from: https://repository.li.mahidol.ac.th/handle/123456789/84959
Title
Estimation of Excess All-Cause Mortality Due to COVID-19 in Thailand
Author(s)
Other Contributor(s)
Abstract
Thailand has experienced the most prominent COVID-19 outbreak in 2021, resulting in a new record for COVID-19 cases and deaths. To assess the influence of the COVID-19 outbreak on mortality, we estimated excess all-cause and pneumonia mortality in Thailand during the COVID-19 outbreak from April to October 2021. We used mortality from the previous 5 years to estimate the baseline number of deaths using generalized linear mixed models. The models were adjusted for seasonality and demographics. We found that, during the outbreak in 2021, there was a significant rise in excess fatalities, especially in the older age groups. The estimated cumulative excess death was 14.3% (95% CI: 8.6–18.8%) higher than the baseline. The results also showed that the excess deaths in males were higher than in females by approximately 26.3%. The excess deaths directly caused by the COVID-19 infections accounted for approximately 75.0% of the all-cause excess deaths. Furthermore, excess pneumonia deaths were also found to be 26.2% (95% CI: 4.8–46.0%) above baseline. .