Global Trends in Kidney Stone Awareness: A Time Series Analysis from 2004–2023
1
Issued Date
2024-06-01
Resource Type
eISSN
20397283
Scopus ID
2-s2.0-85197155414
Journal Title
Clinics and Practice
Volume
14
Issue
3
Start Page
915
End Page
927
Rights Holder(s)
SCOPUS
Bibliographic Citation
Clinics and Practice Vol.14 No.3 (2024) , 915-927
Suggested Citation
Aiumtrakul N., Thongprayoon C., Suppadungsuk S., Krisanapan P., Pinthusopon P., Mao M.A., Arayangkool C., Vo K.B., Wannaphut C., Miao J., Cheungpasitporn W. Global Trends in Kidney Stone Awareness: A Time Series Analysis from 2004–2023. Clinics and Practice Vol.14 No.3 (2024) , 915-927. 927. doi:10.3390/clinpract14030072 Retrieved from: https://repository.li.mahidol.ac.th/handle/123456789/99506
Title
Global Trends in Kidney Stone Awareness: A Time Series Analysis from 2004–2023
Corresponding Author(s)
Other Contributor(s)
Abstract
Background: Despite the prevalence and incidence of kidney stones progressively increasing worldwide, public awareness of this condition remains unclear. Understanding trends of awareness can assist healthcare professionals and policymakers in planning and implementing targeted health interventions. This study investigated online search interest in “kidney stone” by analyzing Google Trends, focusing on stationarity of the trends and predicting future trends. Methods: We performed time series analysis on worldwide Google monthly search data from January 2004 to November 2023. The Augmented Dickey–Fuller (ADF) test was used to assess the stationarity of the data, with a p-value below 0.05 indicating stationarity. Time series forecasting was performed using the autoregressive integrated moving average to predict future trends. Results: The highest search interest for “kidney stone” (score 100) was in August 2022, while the lowest was in December 2007 (score 36). As of November 2023, search interest remained high, at 92. The ADF test was significant (p = 0.023), confirming data stationarity. The time series forecasting projected continued high public interest, likely reflecting ongoing concern and awareness. Notably, diverse regions such as Iran, the Philippines, Ecuador, the United States, and Nepal showed significant interest, suggesting widespread awareness of nephrolithiasis. Conclusion: This study highlighted that “kidney stone” is a consistently relevant health issue globally. The increase and stationarity of search trends, the forecasted sustained interest, and diverse regional interest emphasize the need for collaborative research and educational initiatives. This study’s analysis serves as a valuable tool for shaping future healthcare policies and research directions in addressing nephrolithiasis related health challenges.