Assessing the spatial scale of synchrony in forest tree population dynamics
Issued Date
2024-11-01
Resource Type
eISSN
14712954
Scopus ID
2-s2.0-85210106709
Pubmed ID
39564678
Journal Title
Proceedings of the Royal Society B: Biological Sciences
Volume
291
Issue
2035
Rights Holder(s)
SCOPUS
Bibliographic Citation
Proceedings of the Royal Society B: Biological Sciences Vol.291 No.2035 (2024) , 20240486
Suggested Citation
Chisholm R.A., Fung T., Anderson-Teixeira K.J., Bourg N.A., Brockelman W.Y., Bunyavejchewin S., Chang-Yang C.H., Chen Y.Y., Chuyong G.B., Condit R., Dattaraja H.S., Davies S.J., Ediriweera S., Ewango C.E.N., Fernando E.S., Gunatilleke I.A.U.N., Gunatilleke C.V.S., Hao Z., Howe R.W., Kenfack D., Yao T.L., Makana J.R., McMahon S.M., Mi X., Bt Mohamad M., Myers J.A., Nathalang A., Pérez Á.J., Phumsathan S., Pongpattananurak N., Ren H., Rodriguez L.J.V., Sukumar R., Sun I.F., Suresh H.S., Thomas D.W., Thompson J., Uriarte M., Valencia R., Wang X., Wolf A.T., Zimmerman J.K. Assessing the spatial scale of synchrony in forest tree population dynamics. Proceedings of the Royal Society B: Biological Sciences Vol.291 No.2035 (2024) , 20240486. doi:10.1098/rspb.2024.0486 Retrieved from: https://repository.li.mahidol.ac.th/handle/20.500.14594/102275
Title
Assessing the spatial scale of synchrony in forest tree population dynamics
Author(s)
Chisholm R.A.
Fung T.
Anderson-Teixeira K.J.
Bourg N.A.
Brockelman W.Y.
Bunyavejchewin S.
Chang-Yang C.H.
Chen Y.Y.
Chuyong G.B.
Condit R.
Dattaraja H.S.
Davies S.J.
Ediriweera S.
Ewango C.E.N.
Fernando E.S.
Gunatilleke I.A.U.N.
Gunatilleke C.V.S.
Hao Z.
Howe R.W.
Kenfack D.
Yao T.L.
Makana J.R.
McMahon S.M.
Mi X.
Bt Mohamad M.
Myers J.A.
Nathalang A.
Pérez Á.J.
Phumsathan S.
Pongpattananurak N.
Ren H.
Rodriguez L.J.V.
Sukumar R.
Sun I.F.
Suresh H.S.
Thomas D.W.
Thompson J.
Uriarte M.
Valencia R.
Wang X.
Wolf A.T.
Zimmerman J.K.
Fung T.
Anderson-Teixeira K.J.
Bourg N.A.
Brockelman W.Y.
Bunyavejchewin S.
Chang-Yang C.H.
Chen Y.Y.
Chuyong G.B.
Condit R.
Dattaraja H.S.
Davies S.J.
Ediriweera S.
Ewango C.E.N.
Fernando E.S.
Gunatilleke I.A.U.N.
Gunatilleke C.V.S.
Hao Z.
Howe R.W.
Kenfack D.
Yao T.L.
Makana J.R.
McMahon S.M.
Mi X.
Bt Mohamad M.
Myers J.A.
Nathalang A.
Pérez Á.J.
Phumsathan S.
Pongpattananurak N.
Ren H.
Rodriguez L.J.V.
Sukumar R.
Sun I.F.
Suresh H.S.
Thomas D.W.
Thompson J.
Uriarte M.
Valencia R.
Wang X.
Wolf A.T.
Zimmerman J.K.
Author's Affiliation
Institute of Biology, College of Science, University of the Philippines, Diliman
Université de Kisangani
Uva Wellassa University
Pontificia Universidad Católica del Ecuador
Universidad de Puerto Rico
University of the Philippines Los Banos
University of Peradeniya
University of Buea
Smithsonian Tropical Research Institute
Columbia University
Institute of Applied Ecology, Chinese Academy of Sciences
Conservation and Research Center (National Zoo)
Kasetsart University
Smithsonian Environmental Research Center
National University of Singapore
Smithsonian Institution
Institute of Botany, Chinese Academy of Sciences
Forest Research Centre - Sandakan
Oregon State University
National Dong Hwa University
National Sun Yat-Sen University
Washington University in St. Louis
Institute of Molecular Biosciences, Mahidol University
University of Wisconsin-Green Bay
UK Centre for Ecology & Hydrology
Thailand National Science and Technology Development Agency
Retired
China National Botanical Garden
Indian Institute of Science
International Affairs Division
Université de Kisangani
Uva Wellassa University
Pontificia Universidad Católica del Ecuador
Universidad de Puerto Rico
University of the Philippines Los Banos
University of Peradeniya
University of Buea
Smithsonian Tropical Research Institute
Columbia University
Institute of Applied Ecology, Chinese Academy of Sciences
Conservation and Research Center (National Zoo)
Kasetsart University
Smithsonian Environmental Research Center
National University of Singapore
Smithsonian Institution
Institute of Botany, Chinese Academy of Sciences
Forest Research Centre - Sandakan
Oregon State University
National Dong Hwa University
National Sun Yat-Sen University
Washington University in St. Louis
Institute of Molecular Biosciences, Mahidol University
University of Wisconsin-Green Bay
UK Centre for Ecology & Hydrology
Thailand National Science and Technology Development Agency
Retired
China National Botanical Garden
Indian Institute of Science
International Affairs Division
Corresponding Author(s)
Other Contributor(s)
Abstract
Populations of forest trees exhibit large temporal fluctuations, but little is known about the synchrony of these fluctuations across space, including their sign, magnitude, causes and characteristic scales. These have important implications for metapopulation persistence and theoretical community ecology. Using data from permanent forest plots spanning local, regional and global spatial scales, we measured spatial synchrony in tree population growth rates over sub-decadal and decadal timescales and explored the relationship of synchrony to geographical distance. Synchrony was high at local scales of less than 1 km, with estimated Pearson correlations of approximately 0.6-0.8 between species' population growth rates across pairs of quadrats. Synchrony decayed by approximately 17-44% with each order of magnitude increase in distance but was still detectably positive at distances of 100 km and beyond. Dispersal cannot explain observed large-scale synchrony because typical seed dispersal distances (<100 m) are far too short to couple the dynamics of distant forests on decadal timescales. We attribute the observed synchrony in forest dynamics primarily to the effect of spatially synchronous environmental drivers (the Moran effect), in particular climate, although pests, pathogens and anthropogenic drivers may play a role for some species.