Publication: Do rural-urban migrants have higher fertility than urban non-migrants in Vietnam?
Issued Date
2009-07
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Language
eng
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Mahidol University
Bibliographic Citation
Journal of Population and Social Studies. Vol.18, No.1 (2009), 23-48.
Suggested Citation
Ha Viet Hung, Aree Jampaklay, อารี จำปากลาย, Aphichat Chamratrithirong, อภิชาติ จำรัสฤทธิรงค์, Kusol Soonthorndhada, กุศล สุนธรธาดา Do rural-urban migrants have higher fertility than urban non-migrants in Vietnam?. Journal of Population and Social Studies. Vol.18, No.1 (2009), 23-48.. Retrieved from: https://repository.li.mahidol.ac.th/handle/20.500.14594/2930
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Title
Do rural-urban migrants have higher fertility than urban non-migrants in Vietnam?
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Abstract
Large scale rural-urban migration has coincided with an apparent slow-down in Vietnam’s fertility decline. During the period 1999-2004, rural fertility continued to decline slowly while the urban fertility decline stalled. Some the government officials are concerned that rural-urban migrants, particularly temporary migrants, may have been having out-of-plan births which are not allowed under the two-child population policy. This study examines the relationship between rural-urban migration and fertility in Vietnam. The analyses consider a question: Do rural-urban migrants have higher fertility than urban non-migrants?
The study used data obtained from the Vietnam Migration Survey conduced in 2004. The analyses applied multinominal logistic regression models to compare number of children aged 0-4 among various groups of migrants and non-migrations. The analyses found significantly lower fertility among migrants compared to non-migrants. Migrants appear to delay their fertility partly because of adaptation to the urban norm of lower fertility, but mainly because of household registration effects. The results suggest that increased rural-urban migration is not stalling the urban fertility decline as well as slowing down the national fertility decline. Rural-urban migration is likely to have a negative relationship with fertility.