Publication: Estimation of Reproduction Number of COVID-19 Spread Patterns in Thailand
Issued Date
2565
Resource Type
Resource Version
Accepted Manuscript
Language
eng
File Type
application/pdf
ISSN
2697-584X (Print)
https://repository.li.mahidol.ac.th/entities/publication/216a6bee-9605-46d9-987d-e32bfa636edc/full#:~:text=dc.identifier.issn-,2697%2D5866%20(Online),-dc.identifier.uri
https://repository.li.mahidol.ac.th/entities/publication/216a6bee-9605-46d9-987d-e32bfa636edc/full#:~:text=dc.identifier.issn-,2697%2D5866%20(Online),-dc.identifier.uri
Journal Title
Thai Journal of Public Health
Volume
52
Issue
3
Start Page
309
End Page
325
Access Rights
open access
Rights
ผลงานนี้เป็นลิขสิทธิ์ของมหาวิทยาลัยมหิดล ขอสงวนไว้สำหรับเพื่อการศึกษาเท่านั้น ต้องอ้างอิงแหล่งที่มา ห้ามดัดแปลงเนื้อหา และห้ามนำไปใช้เพื่อการค้า
Rights Holder(s)
Department of Pharmacology Faculty of Medicine Siriraj Hospital Mahidol University
Bibliographic Citation
Thai Journal of Public Health. Vol. 52, No. 3 (Sep - Dec 2022), 309-325
Suggested Citation
Laddawan Jansarikit, Metha Yaikwawong Estimation of Reproduction Number of COVID-19 Spread Patterns in Thailand. Thai Journal of Public Health. Vol. 52, No. 3 (Sep - Dec 2022), 309-325. 325. Retrieved from: https://repository.li.mahidol.ac.th/handle/20.500.14594/109681
Research Projects
Organizational Units
Authors
Journal Issue
Thesis
Title
Estimation of Reproduction Number of COVID-19 Spread Patterns in Thailand
Author(s)
Author's Affiliation
Abstract
Coronavirus disease 2019 (COVID-19) caused by severe acute respiratory syndrome–coronavirus 2 (SARS-CoV-2) and was declared as a pandemic. The purpose of this study was to estimation the reproduction number of COVID-19 Spread Patterns by using the data from 22 January to 30 June 2020. We applied the exponential growth rate to estimate the basic reproduction number (R0) according to the status of lockdown. The exponential growth model results during lockdown period indicate the basic reproduction number is 0.58 (95% CI: 0.55-0.60), whereas the basic reproduction number is 0.98 during easing of lockdown. The highest value of the basic reproduction number is 2.48 (95% CI: 2.21-2.77) during pre-lockdown phase II. The reduction of basic reproduction numbers (R0). suggested that timely implementation of control measures. The estimation of reproduction numbers could be used to analyze and evaluate the effectiveness of control measures and also used as a guide for public health policymakers for future COVID-19 outbreak. Moreover, with COVID-19 cases still present in Thailand, an estimation of basic reproduction number (R0) would be helpful for continuous monitoring of the effectiveness of the current public health policies implemented in Thailand.